Obama’s Oil Plan: A Reality Check

Reality Check on Obama's Plan
Today, news outlets, television news stations, and radio networks got as excited as school children hearing about a class party. The subject was Obama’s plan for “cleaner, more efficient cars.”
On the surface, it sounds like a fantastic plan, and one that is long overdue for a nation that has become lackadaisical about how it has become the world’s largest consumer of petroleum, and obsessed with bigger, more gas-guzzling vehicles than ever before.
The earnings just in the past few years by oil companies have broken all records for corporate earnings, while Americans pay more at the pump to fuel their need for speed and show and power.
And perhaps that is why this announcement has been picked up and broadcast across the nation with such fervor. But the world has a saying that the devil is in the details, and while the majority are excited at this latest pronouncement from our new president, it would be an exercise in wisdom to more closely examine what we are being told and what we aren’t being told, rather than simply jumping on to the hype train.
In the details of the report by the Associated Press came these announcements:
- Consumers would have to spend an additional $1300 per new vehicle by 2016.
- Consumers would see a savings of $2800 through the improved gas mileage of the vehicle.
- Vehicle carbon dioxide emissions would be reduced by about a third.
- Vehicles would average about 35.5 miles per gallon.
- The proposal would save 1.8 billion barrels of oil “over the lifetime of the vehicles sold in the next five years” and be akin to removing 177 million cars from the roads over the next 6 1/2 years. In that period, Obama claims, the savings in oil burned to fuel American cars, trucks and buses would amount to last year’s combined U.S. imports from Saudi Arabia, Venezuela, Libya and Nigeria.
So, let’s examine these items and see what we come up with.
Consumers would have to spend an additional $1300 per new vehicle by 2016
According to the Associated Press, “Consumers were already going to pay an extra $700 for mileage standards that had been approved previously, according to administration officials. The Obama plan adds another $600 to the price of a vehicle, bringing the total cost to $1,300 by 2016.” This increase comes at a time when the jobless rate is alarmingly high. Families are losing their homes, as well. The corporate bailouts that have been enacted in recent months have placed every single person’s financial standing in a dangerously precarious position, and nobody really yet knows how it’s going to be funded.
Bottom line, if Americans cannot afford to stay in their homes, then how in the world are they going to be able to afford to buy a new car just to experience a $2800 savings over the lifetime of the vehicle? It is unrealistic, to say the least. And irresponsible.
Consumers would see a savings of $2800 through the improved gas mileage of the vehicle
Evidently, this savings would be seen over the lifetime of the vehicle, which means that if the car lasts, let’s say ten years, the consumer will see a savings of $280 every year. That amounts to a whopping $23 a month that is saved. It just sounds so much better when you throw out a big number like “$2800″ I guess.
What else is not being given due consideration is the volatility of the gas market. Gas prices continue to stay higher than they have ever been, and for a longer period of time. Just about anything can suddenly drive the price of gasoline up still higher. What guarantee are we being given that that $23 we’ll be saving each month won’t actually be gobbled back into the oil companies’ bank accounts through increased fuel costs?
None.
Vehicle carbon dioxide emissions would be reduced by about a third
Using a term like “about a third” does absolutely nothing to convey the reality of our pathetic emissions standards and contribution to the destruction of our own atmosphere. It’s a vaguery that sounds great, but bears little relevance.
According to the U.S. Department of Energy, “Carbon emissions in North America reached 1,760 million metric tons in 1998, a 38 percent increase since 1970. They are expected to grow another 31 percent, to 2,314 million metric tons, by the year 2020.”
Simply put, if vehicle carbon dioxide emissions do manage to be reduced by a third, then we’re going to remain at 1998 levels—dumping 1,760 million metric tons of carbon dioxide emissions into our air. No increase, but certainly no decrease either. In other words, the “status quo” that Obama says will no longer be acceptable—really is acceptable.
Vehicles would average about 35.5 miles per gallon
The idea here is to have passenger cars achieve 39mpg and light trucks achieve 30mpg by 2016. However, everyone knows that passenger car purchases are losing ground to the bigger, roomier, more buff SUV and minivan market, not to mention the heavy trucks. What good will manufacturing a car that can get up to 39mpg (on the highway, I presume) if the consumer passes it by to climb into that sporty-looking SUV? Absolutely no good at all.
Back in the mid to late 70’s and on into the early 80’s, there was an abundance of gas-miser vehicles such as Chevettes and Escorts. But America, in its buying into the whole idea that bigger is better, and the more powerful the vehicle, the better, have since abandoned the notion of vehicles that save on fuel like Chevettes and Escorts did. Let’s face it: the SUV market has become a burgeoning moneymaker for automakers because it’s in demand. Automakers have for years been able to point to car models that have increased in fuel economy, without mentioning that they aren’t selling off the lots like the big trucks, minivans, and SUVs. Can you imagine a family accustomed to all of the roominess afforded them by their SUV or minivan to then be willing to forfeit that and squeeze back into a smaller car in order to gain a few extra miles to the gallon? Highly unlikely.
And none of this takes into account the fact that foreign automakers such as Toyota and Honda already produce vehicles that meet the 2016 standards—and in some cases, exceed them! If American automakers reeling from a downturn in the market are going to remain competitive, they’re going to have to do a whole lot better, and a whole lot sooner.
The proposal would save 1.8 billion barrels of oil “over the lifetime of the vehicles sold in the next five years”
This was perhaps the most ironic statement that came out of the Associated Press’ report from Obama’s announcement today. That’s because Americans consume, on an average, 20.6 million barrels of oil every single day! Under Obama’s current proposal, we will be saving about 90 days’ worth of oil consumption—but that 90 days’ worth of savings will be stretched out “over the lifetime of the vehicles sold in the next five years.” That’s approximately a savings in oil equal to 18 days each year for 5 years. It’s a mere pittance, readers, and if you aren’t howling with wry laughter as that point hits home, then you don’t get the sheer senselessness.
Okay, Critic, do you have a BETTER idea, then?
It’s easy enough to find the faults in today’s media’s festive atmosphere. It’s easy to stand back and take a more critical look at what we were told, and what it all really means.
But it’s a whole other deal to come up with a workable alternative, and I know this.
For me, I would prefer to see the failing GM and Chrysler somehow get retooled and start producing some sort of electric vehicles. If that can’t be done, then hand off the project to the up-and-coming companies that are producing them now in this country, and help them to expand. Workers that are going to lose their jobs as Chrysler and GM undergo bankruptcy and reorganization could be hired in by these new automakers and put back to work producing vehicles that really will reduce our dependence on oil. Electric-powered vehicles are not the ultimate solution to the problem, but they will certainly buy us more time until we develop a better technology—and preserve our environment in the process.
Curiously enough, there was NO mention whatsoever in today’s announcement about alternatively-powered transportation—which leads me to believe that when Obama says that everyone will profit from today’s announced change, he’s referring to the big corporations and oil magnates who stand to make billions more than they have up until now, while maintaining the status quo.
Check your reality at the door, folks.

